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Statistics New Zealand is picking 2038 as the year the Maori population will surpass 1 million.
That will be about 18 percent of the total population, which is expected to be between 5.2 and 6.3 million, up from 4.4 million in 2013.
The broad Asian ethnic group will increase the most over the period, from 540,000 in 2013 to between 1.2 and 1.4 million.
The Pacific ethnic group is also projected to rise significantly.
Population statistics senior manager Peter Dolan says the Maori, Asian, and Pacific populations are growing faster because of their younger age structures, combined with higher birth rates or migration.
The broad Asian ethnic group’s share is projected to be higher than the Maori ethnic share by 2023, and is projected to be 22 percent of the total population by 2038.
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