The National Party has fallen below the 30 percent mark in the latest political polling, while coalition partners ACT and New Zealand First have recorded gains as the race towards the 2026 General Election intensifies.
The latest RNZ-Reid Research poll shows National’s support dropping to 29.8 percent, placing the governing party behind Labour, which remains the most popular party among voters. ACT and New Zealand First both increased their share of support, helping to soften the impact on the coalition bloc.
The results highlight growing challenges for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon as voters continue to weigh concerns around the economy, cost-of-living pressures and the overall direction of the country. Recent polling has shown National struggling to regain momentum despite signs of economic recovery.
While National remains the largest party within the governing coalition, the rise of New Zealand First and ACT suggests some centre-right voters may be shifting their support within the coalition rather than abandoning the bloc altogether.
Labour continues to lead the party vote, with support from the Greens and Te Pāti Māori potentially placing the opposition in a stronger position should current trends continue. However, with several months remaining before the election, political analysts caution that voter sentiment can change rapidly.
The poll also reflects ongoing volatility in New Zealand politics, with minor parties playing an increasingly important role under the MMP system. If the latest numbers were replicated on election day, coalition negotiations could once again prove crucial in determining who forms the next government.
Political parties are expected to sharpen their campaigning efforts in the coming months as attention turns to key issues including the economy, housing, health and the cost of living.
