March 25, 2026
#economy: Global Tensions Raise Economic Risks for Māori Businesses and Whānau
A leading Māori governance and economic development expert is warning that escalating conflict in the Middle East could have far-reaching consequences for Aotearoa’s economy, with Māori businesses and whānau among those most exposed to the fallout.
Traci Houpapa says growing instability and the potential disruption to global fuel supply chains present immediate risks, particularly for a country heavily reliant on imported energy and international trade routes. Any sustained pressure on fuel availability or pricing is likely to flow quickly through the economy, driving up costs for transport, production, and everyday living.
For Māori enterprises, the exposure is significant. Many are concentrated in sectors such as transport, forestry, agriculture, fisheries, and tourism – industries that depend heavily on fuel and are sensitive to global supply chain disruptions. Increased fuel costs alone can erode margins, while delays or volatility in export markets can impact revenue certainty and long-term planning.
Regional economies, where Māori businesses play a critical role, are also particularly vulnerable. Higher transport costs can isolate communities further, increase the price of goods, and place additional pressure on already stretched household budgets. For whānau, this compounds existing cost-of-living challenges, with fuel, food, and energy prices all moving in the same direction.
Houpapa’s assessment reflects a broader concern that global shocks often hit unevenly, with Māori communities historically bearing a disproportionate share of the impact. Previous crises – from financial downturns to pandemic disruptions – have highlighted structural vulnerabilities, including lower average incomes, higher living costs in some regions, and greater exposure to sectors sensitive to external shocks.
The lesson for policymakers, she says, is the need for targeted, proactive responses rather than one-size-fits-all solutions. That includes ensuring that relief measures reach those most affected quickly, and that Māori businesses are supported to maintain operations and protect jobs during periods of volatility.
From an economic resilience perspective, there is also a need to strengthen local capacity. This includes investing in infrastructure, supporting diversification within Māori enterprises, and reducing reliance on single markets or supply chains where possible. Building resilience at both the business and community level is seen as critical to weathering ongoing uncertainty.
Houpapa points to the importance of coordinated action between government and iwi leadership. On the government side, this could include targeted financial support, adjustments to fuel-related costs, and policies that ease pressure on households and small businesses. For iwi and Māori organisations, there is an opportunity to leverage collective strength – supporting whānau through hardship, investing strategically, and continuing to build economic platforms that are resilient to external shocks.
At the same time, there is a clear focus on protecting long-term momentum. Māori economic development has grown significantly in recent years, with increased participation across a range of sectors. Maintaining that trajectory will require careful navigation of global pressures, ensuring that short-term shocks do not derail long-term gains.
As tensions overseas continue to evolve, the message from within the Māori economic sector is one of vigilance and preparation. The impacts may originate far from Aotearoa, but the consequences – particularly for Māori businesses, workers, and whānau – will be felt here at home.





