March 24, 2026

#national: Labour Extends Lead Over National in Latest RNZ-Reid Research Poll

Matthew Tukaki Posted On March 24, 2026

Labour has widened its lead over National in the latest RNZ-Reid Research poll, reinforcing a growing trend that suggests momentum is shifting back toward the centre-left as the 2026 election approaches.

The poll shows Labour sitting in the mid-30 percent range, ahead of National, which has slipped further behind amid ongoing economic pressure and political scrutiny. The gap between the two major parties now reflects a notable shift compared to earlier polling in the year, where the contest appeared tighter.

National’s decline comes as broader dissatisfaction with economic conditions continues to shape voter sentiment. Rising costs, including fuel and household expenses, alongside concerns about economic management, are emerging as key drivers influencing public opinion. Recent polling trends indicate that these pressures are beginning to weigh on the Government’s support base.

Labour’s improved position is also being supported by steady backing from its traditional allies. The Greens remain around the 10 percent mark, while Te Pāti Māori continues to sit below the 5 percent threshold but still contributes to the broader centre-left bloc. Together, these numbers suggest a pathway to government if replicated on election day.

On the other side, National’s coalition partners are holding relatively stable positions. New Zealand First has strengthened its standing in recent polling, while ACT remains consistent. However, even with these contributions, the combined centre-right bloc is facing increasing pressure to regain lost ground.

The latest figures also highlight the fluid nature of voter sentiment. Polling experts continue to emphasise that surveys are snapshots in time rather than predictions, with significant room for movement as the election draws closer. Undecided voters and shifting economic conditions are expected to play a decisive role in the months ahead.

With the general election scheduled for November 2026, both major parties are entering a critical period. For Labour, the challenge will be to consolidate its lead and convert polling support into a stable governing coalition. For National, the focus will be on rebuilding confidence, sharpening its economic narrative, and reconnecting with voters facing cost-of-living pressures.

As it stands, the latest RNZ-Reid Research poll signals a political landscape that is tightening-but increasingly tilting in Labour’s favour.