November 01, 2021
Dr Rawiri Taonui – New Delta Records for Māori
Record cases
• Today the Ministry of Health announced a new record of 162 Delta cases.
Record Māori Cases
• Today’s numbers included a new record for Māori of 79 cases.
• This is the 29th consecutive day Māori have had the highest cases.
• The highest three days of Māori cases since Covid-19 first entered New Zealand have come in the last three days.
• Many more record days are certain.
Photo Supplied
Impact on Māori Communities
• There are a record 1,916 active cases today.
• Māori are 43.7% of all active cases (837).
• There are 564 active cases isolating in 372 households in Auckland.
• The Ministry of Health has not released the ethnic data for this group. We can assume that the majority will be Māori.
• Active cases have overrun the capacity of the Managed Isolation and Quarantine.
Māori the most Impacted Demographic
• On 12 October, my 4-level percentage increase model (low 30%, medium 40-50%, high 60%) predicted 1,100 to 1,500 Māori cases by 2 November.
• With one day to go, there are 1,226 Māori cases.
• On 25 October, a second projection was that Māori cases would pass Pacific Peoples on 3 or 4 November.
• Māori will pass Pacific (1,231) as the most impacted demographic tomorrow.
• Māori and Pacific are 70% of all cases (2,457) in the outbreak.
• Later this week, I will compile a new projection for November to December.
Noho haumaru, stay safe.
Dr Rawiri Taonui